Urban forestry

The Effect of Climate Change on Urban Trees

Toso Bozic

Toso Bozic

Tree/Forestry Expert

Urban trees play a vital role in enhancing the quality of life in cities, providing numerous environmental, social, and economic benefits. However, rising temperatures, altered precipitation patterns, and increased extreme weather events are creating a hostile environment for many tree species. The effect of climate change on urban trees are numerous. The urban foresters, arborists and decision makers faces challenging and difficult decisions, on tree care and maintenance of existing trees, choosing right tree species, to ensure tree survival and adaptation to climate change. This requires new strategies and approaches to manage urban trees and forest. The effect of climate change on urban forest can be addressed in following areas.

Rising temperatures and Heat Stress “ Urban Heat Island Effect”

Urban areas, known for their extensive concrete and asphalt surfaces, are particularly vulnerable to the urban heat island effect. Climate change exacerbates this phenomenon, leading to even higher temperatures in cities. Urban trees face increased heat stress, as they absorb and retain heat from the built environment.
Prolonged exposure to high temperatures can weaken trees, making them more susceptible to pests, diseases, and overall decline. Moreover, higher temperatures can disrupt the phenological cycles of urban trees, affecting flowering, leaf emergence, and fruiting. Heat stress can lead to reduced growth, increased vulnerability to pests and diseases, and tree mortality.

Altered precipitation patterns and water stress

Climate change is altering precipitation patterns, leading to more frequent and intense droughts and rainfalls in urban areas. Urban trees, often surrounded by impervious surfaces, struggle to absorb and retain water during heavy rainfall, leading to soil compaction and increased runoff.Conversely, during droughts, trees experience water stress, which can lead to leaf drop, reduced growth, and even mortality. Water-stressed trees are more susceptible to pest infestations, diseases, and physiological disorders. Additionally, in urban areas that experiencing heavy rainfall events, urban trees may suffer from soil erosion and waterlogging, further compromising their health.

Soil Quality and Nutrient Depletion

Urban soils are often degraded due to human activities, such as construction, pollution, and compaction. Climate change further impacts soil quality by altering microbial communities and nutrient availability. Healthy soils are essential for the proper growth and development of urban trees. However, degraded soils hinder their ability to cope with climate-related stressors. Trees may exhibit nutrient deficiencies, reduced root development, and increased vulnerability to pests and diseases.

Altered Growing Seasons

With changing climate conditions, the timing of growing seasons for trees is being disrupted. Warmer temperatures can cause trees to bud and flower earlier in the year, exposing them to potential late frosts that can damage tender new growth. Similarly, some tree species might struggle to enter dormancy during milder winters, leading to reduced winter hardiness and increased vulnerability to cold-related stress.

Pest and Disease Outbreaks

Climate change is favoring the expansion of pests and diseases that target urban trees. Warmer winters and longer growing seasons allow certain pests, such as the emerald ash borer, to thrive and spread to new regions. The loss of tree species diversity in urban areas due to monoculture plantings can exacerbate the impact of pest and disease outbreaks, making entire urban tree populations more susceptible to devastation.

Approach for tree species climate change adaptation and resilience

To enhance the resilience of urban trees in the face of climate change, tree species adaptation is crucial. Climate change prompts tree species to adapt to new conditions to survive. Some urban trees are already showing signs of adaptation, including altered phenological patterns and shifting distributions. Tree species that once thrived in warmer southern regions are now successfully growing in more northern cities.
As temperatures continue to rise, urban trees may adapt through natural selection or through assisted migration – a deliberate human intervention to introduce tree species that are better suited to future climatic conditions. Here are some strategies that can be employed:
1.Diverse Species Selection: Urban planners and arborists should prioritize planting a diverse range of tree species. By incorporating a variety of native and non-native species that are well-adapted to changing climate conditions, cities can reduce the risk of widespread tree loss due to pests or extreme weather events.
2. Assisted Migration: As climate zones shift, some tree species may struggle to adapt in their current locations. Assisted migration involves the intentional movement of tree populations to areas with suitable climatic conditions. This approach can help tree species transition to more favorable environments and maintain healthy populations.
3. Green Infrastructure and Urban Planning: Integrating green infrastructure and urban planning is crucial for supporting urban tree health. Effective urban planning and the integration of green infrastructure are essential for mitigating the impact of climate change on urban trees. Implementing green roofs, green walls, and urban forests can reduce the urban heat island effect, improve air quality, and increase urban biodiversity. Moreover, urban trees can be strategically placed to provide shade to streets, sidewalks, and buildings, reducing energy consumption for cooling and enhancing the overall livability of cities.
4. Monitoring and Management: Regular monitoring of urban trees’ health is essential to detect early signs of stress or disease outbreaks. Timely management measures, such as watering, mulching, and pest control, can help mitigate the impacts of climate-related challenges.


It is essential for policymakers, urban planners, and communities to collaborate in developing climate-resilient tree species selection, sustainable urban design, and green infrastructure.

By prioritizing diverse tree species selection, implementing assisted migration strategies, and investing in green infrastructure could be some key strategies and approach. The innovative and climate change adaptable sustainable management and care of urban trees are vital to ensure that urban trees and forestry provide all ecosystem services.

ATTS Group Inc already provides range of tree and forestry consulting service to urban and rural municipalities, businesses, developers, and individuals to create and maintain thriving urban forests.

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